Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul: Netflix Fight Time, Boxing Odds and Projected Winner

Under 1.5 Knockdowns (-210)

Taking a look at some of the props and odds being offered there are some interesting patterns. For one, oddsmakers seem to believe that knockdowns are going to be a part of the fight.

It makes some sense. Tyson was once known for his fearsome power and arguably has the best highlight reel of knockouts. Paul has won each of his last three fights by knockout. It stands to reason that two fighters with that kind of power are going to score some knockdowns.

But throwing money at the knockdown props could be a trap. These aren’t the most juicy odds, but Tyson was unable to drop a 51-year-old Roy Jones Jr. when they fought in a 2020 exhibition.

Paul could wind up scoring a knockdown at some point in this fight. He put Anderson Silva on the ground with a right hand and he does have good power. However, it’s hard envisioning the pace and intensity of this fight going much beyond a sparring session.

Fight to Go the Distance (+140)

This one might be a better wager given the value. Again, there’s a conception here that both men are going to be swinging for the fences and looking to score a knockout.

That might be some wishful thinking from viewers and bettors alike.

While this is a sanctioned fight, it really doesn’t feel like much more than a glorified sparring session. The two will be wearing 14-ounce gloves as opposed to the standard 10-ounce gloves. The rounds are only two minutes long instead of the traditional three and there are only eight of them.

Even at 58, Tyson appears to be in good enough shape to go eight, two-minute rounds. At the same time, the bigger gloves should protect Paul from taking any surprise shots from an opponent who is 31 years older than him.

This one is going to the scorecards.