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Argentina are back at home in World Cup qualifying action this week. Our Argentina vs Peru prediction considers whether they can bounce back from a surprise defeat last time out.
Argentina vs Peru prediction: Hosts to claim comfortable win to nil
Key stats
- Our Argentina vs Peru betting tips take into account that there have been under 3.5 goals in 10 of the last 11 matches involving the defending world champions.
- Peru have won just one of their last eight matches.
- They’ve failed to score in seven of their last 10 games.
Correct score prediction: Argentina 3-0 Peru
Everything here points towards a solid home victory, particularly with Peru firing blanks in the majority of their recent matches.
Argentina have been a bit inconsistent overall in recent months, dropping points in their last three away qualifiers. However, they put six unanswered goals past Bolivia in their last home game and they should be far too strong for Peru.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina the huge favourites
- HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.6%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Argentina vs Peru odds with an implied probability of 84.6% that they win this match.
They head into this after a 2-1 defeat in Paraguay last week, despite an early goal from Lautaro Martinez.
As for Peru, they head into this one following a goalless home draw against rivals Chile.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America and elsewhere, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Argentine dominance
Our Argentina vs Peru prediction suggests the hosts will have the edge again here and La Albiceleste have won all of the last four meetings to nil.
Peru have never won a World Cup qualifier in Argentina, losing on seven of their 10 previous visits.
South America – World Cup Qualifying 18/10/23
South America – World Cup Qualifying 15/10/21
South America – World Cup Qualifying 18/11/20
South America – World Cup Qualifying 06/10/17
Argentina preview: Changes at the back necessary
Cristian Romero picked up an injury in Paraguay which means he’s missing here, along with fellow centre-back Lisandro Martinez who had already pulled out. Otherwise, there may only be very light changes despite the defeat.
Predicted Lineup: E. Martinez (GK), Molina, Balerdi, Otamendi, Tagliafico, De Paul, Fernandez, Mac Allister, Lo Celso, Messi & L. Martinez
South America – World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W
South America – World Cup Qualifying 10/10/24
D
South America – World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24
L
South America – World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24
W
Peru preview: No fresh issues
There are no new injury problems for Peru. Light changes are possible, with Gianluca Lapadula potentially bringing fresh legs in attack.
Predicted Lineup: Caceda (GK), Corzo, Araujo, Callens, Polo, Sonne, Cartagena, Pena, Advincula, Valera, Lapadula
South America – World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
L
South America – World Cup Qualifying 12/10/24
W
South America – World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24
L
South America – World Cup Qualifying 07/09/24
D
Player to watch – Leo Messi
Even at the age of 37, Leo Messi is still very much the main draw for Argentina. He has netted 112 times in 190 international caps and is clearly intent on leading his side into the 2026 World Cup.
Messi striking late
During the 2024 MLS season, including the play-offs, the legendary forward scored 21 goals, with 67% of those coming in the Second Half. He also hit 84th and 86th minute goals to complete a hat-trick in Argentina’s last home game.