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How Economists See Trump’s Victory

Economists, like much of the world, are having to recalibrate today. Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election answers some questions and poses others. Here’s one question: How good will Trump be for the world’s biggest economy in the short run—and how scary over the longer haul, not just for the United States? […]

Polarization Is on Display

By most accounts, this presidential election will be close. We don’t have the kinds of landslide elections we had in 1936, 1972, or 1984. Instead, we have elections that come down to a handful of swing states and slivers of the electorate within those states. The landmark book Insecure Majorities by my colleague, Princeton University […]

Trump Promises New Tariffs on Mexico and China

At a rally on Monday in Raleigh, North Carolina, former U.S. President Donald Trump vowed, if elected, to impose tariffs of between 25 and 100 percent on Mexico until it curbed migration at the U.S. southern border. Later that day in Pittsburgh, Trump said he would impose a 25 percent tariff on Mexico to crack down […]

Delayed Results Don’t Always Signal a Problem

The 2020 U.S. presidential election took four days to call and was plagued by lawsuits and conspiracy theories surrounding election integrity and the electoral process. Although many state election officials have taken action to make the process smoother in 2024, there are still concerns in some swing states where the election could be tight. Counting […]

Trump’s Rhetoric Isn’t Normal

In the final days of the U.S. presidential campaign, the media needs to do a much better job highlighting the differences between what Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump deem to be legitimate in the name of partisan warfare. Dueling “garbage” remarks from comedian Tony Hinchcliffe and U.S. President Joe Biden have taken up […]