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Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remain deadlocked in key battleground states just days before the US presidential election, according to the latest New York Times/Siena poll.
It was the same with the final nationwide CNN poll conducted by SSRS, with the race for the White House remaining on a razor’s edge, with 47 percent of likely voters supporting Harris and an equal 47 percent supporting Trump.
The New York Times survey shows Harris narrowly ahead of Trump in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while the Republican retained his advantage in Arizona and erased her lead in Pennsylvania.
Some 75 million ballots have already been cast in person or by mail ahead of tomorrow’s election, which is regarded as too close to call.
Harris had 48 percent support among likely voters in North Carolina compared with Trump’s 46 percent. She also leads in Georgia by 48 percent to 47 percent, and in Wisconsin by 49 percent to 47 percent.
Trump is ahead in Arizona, with 49 percent of likely voters backing the Republican against Harris’ 45 percent. The candidates were tied at 48 percent in Pennsylvania, where each has campaigned vigorously in recent weeks, and at 47 percent in Michigan.
The survey was conducted by phone between October 24 and November 2 with 7,879 likely voters across the seven battleground states whose electoral votes are likely to decide the election.
The margin of error was plus or minus 1.3 percentage points across the seven states and about plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for each state poll.
Other polls in recent weeks have also shown Harris and Trump deadlocked in the seven battleground states.
Harris has likely banked more early votes than Trump so far, given Democrats’ higher propensity to vote early or by mail, according to the CNN poll, which was fielded October 20 to 23.
It found the 20 percent of likely voters who say they have already cast their ballots break 61 percent Harris to 36 percent Trump, while those who say they have not yet voted break in Trump’s favor, 50 percent to 44 percent.
Harris has also surpassed Trump in a new poll in Iowa, with likely women voters responsible for the turnaround in a state that Trump easily won in 2016 and 2020, according to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll. The poll of 808 likely voters, who were surveyed October 28 to 31, has Harris leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent in Iowa, which has been trending deeply Republican in recent years.
Whoever wins Iowa will collect six Electoral College votes. A total of 270 are needed to capture the White House.
CNN polling has found a tight race throughout the short campaign between Harris and Trump.
In September, likely voters split 48 percent for Harris and 47 percent for Trump, nearly identical to the new poll, and a poll just after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race over the summer and threw his support behind Harris found 49 percent of registered voters behind Trump, with 46 percent backing Harris.
Trump has never trailed outside the margin of error in CNN’s polling on this year’s presidential contest against either Harris or Biden, a stark departure from his previous two runs for the presidency.
The final days of the campaign find the country’s registered voters deeply negative about both Biden’s presidency and the way things are going in the nation more generally.
About half, 49 percent, say they are worse off financially now than they were a year ago, while just 16 percent say their financial position has improved in the last 12 months. That is worse than at the start of this year, when 41 percent said they were worse off and 22 percent felt better off. Just 32 percent say things are going well today, down from 38 percent who felt that way in January.
This was the lowest share to say so in the final CNN poll before a presidential election since 2008, when dissatisfaction with the burgeoning economic crisis and lingering Iraq war catapulted Barack Obama to the presidency.
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