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Real Madrid (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Barcelona (9-0-1) to Santiago Bernabéu Stadium Saturday for the season’s first El Clasico. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona sits atop the league and has been virtually unbeatable on the road, sitting with a 5-0-1 away record. It has tallied 33 goals and allowed 10 through 10 matches. Barcelona is led by F Robert Lewandowski, who has netted 12 goals in 10 starts. It is coming off a 4-1 Champions League win over Bayern Munich Wednesday and a 5-1 home win over Sevilla in La Liga action Sunday.
Real Madrid, on a similar note, has been actually unbeatable at home and is a perfect 5-0-0. It has tallied 21 goals and allowed 7. Its +14 goal differential is the 2nd-best in the league. Real sits 2nd in La Liga. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has netted 6 goals in 9 starts. Madrid is coming off a 5-2 home win over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League Tuesday and beat Celta Vigo 2-1 on the road Saturday.
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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 1 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Barcelona +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -130)
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (-115).
In La Liga matches between these 2 sides, the home team has won 3 of the last 4, and Real Madrid beat Barcelona in 3 of the last 4 league matches as well. Real has a similar roster as it did a season ago, when it beat Barcelona 3-2 April 21, 2024. Barcelona might have a dynamic attack, but Real’s defense is the real deal and is experienced.
Barcelona’s goal total is also inflated by a few easy matchups. It has scored more than 2 goals in just 5 of 10 games. Real is rolling and has won 8 of its last 10 games throughout all competitions. It has dominated at home and against Barcelona, so for this value, take REAL MADRID (-115).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-130).
El Clasico, in league matches, has gone under this total in 2 of the last 3 games and 4 of the last 7. Both teams’ defenses are among the best in the league with each allowing 1.00 goals per game or fewer. Barcelona has allowed more than 1 goal in just 1 league game and has 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Real Madrid has 4 clean sheets and has allowed more than 1 goal just once. Both defenses should be equipped to handle talented players, especially with both coming off a Champions League match in the middle of the week. With that in mind, back UNDER 3.5 (-130).
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