Uruguay vs Ecuador prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/10/2024

Uruguay and Ecuador will meet in the upcoming round of the World Cup Qualifiers in South America on Wednesday, 16 October.

Will Uruguay remain undefeated at home in these qualifiers or will Ecuador cause a bit of an upset? Read our Uruguay vs Ecuador prediction to find out and learn more about this duel.

Uruguay vs Ecuador prediction: Hosts to notch a narrow win

Key stats

• The last seven duels between Uruguay and Ecuador have ended in wins for the team that hosted the game.
• Ecuador have only won once away from home in four matches in these WC qualifiers.
• Five of the last six meetings between Uruguay and Ecuador have gone over 2.5 total goals.

Correct score prediction: Uruguay 2-1 Ecuador

The last seven duels between these teams were won by the home team, as we mentioned already, so we expect that to happen on Wednesday too and three times in the last six meetings the final score was 2-1 for the hosts.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Uruguay backed by the bookies

• HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.10%
• DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
• AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.40%

We can see clearly from these Uruguay vs Ecuador odds that the hosts are the expected winners in this game, which isn’t too surprising since Uruguay are the better team on paper.

After all, that is evident from the latest FIFA rankings, where Uruguay are 11th and Ecuador 27th. That being said, both teams have done well in these qualifiers and we expect an exciting match.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: Uruguay with a small advantage

With three wins in the last five meetings with Ecuador, Uruguay have been a bit better than their next opponent in recent years. However, if we go further back and look at the overall H2H record between these two teams, Uruguay have a more significant advantage: 31-10-8.

Uruguay preview: Hoping to end their winless streak

With three games in a row without a win in the WC Qualifiers, Uruguay haven’t been in their best form lately, although they did draw in two of those three games, losing just once. That being said, Uruguay are still third in the standings and in a good position to secure their place at the World Cup.

Uruguay will be without suspended Rodrigo Bentancur, while Ronald Araujo, Sebastian Caceres, and Lucas Olaza are injured.

Predicted lineup: Rochet (GK), Varela, Gimenez, Bueno, Olivera, Ugarte, Valverde, De Arrascaeta, Pellistri, Nunez & M. Araujo

Ecuador preview: Looking for another good result in the qualifiers

With 12 points from nine rounds of WC Qualifiers, after the three-point deduction they have received at the start of the qualifiers, Ecuador are currently fifth in the standings and on a good path to secure their place at the biggest stage of international football.

Meanwhile, Carlos Gruezo and Jhegson Mendez will miss this match through injuries.

Predicted lineup: Galindez (GK), Torres, Pacho, Hincapie, Preciado, Franco, Caicedo, Estupinan, Plata, Valencia & Paez

Player to watch: Darwin Nunez

With 13 goals in 30 appearances for the Uruguay national team, Nunez is the key offensive weapon of this Uruguay’s generation and he is our player to watch against Ecuador as well.