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With the help of our supercomputer, we’re revealing all our predictions for every game each week of the 2024 NFL season.
Our projection model is with us every step of the way this season, providing us with data-backed predictions for all NFL games and season outcomes.
Of course, the Kansas City Chiefs are among the best bets when it comes to the title race, as Patrick Mahomes and company are chasing a third consecutive Super Bowl victory and their fourth in six seasons.
The Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans are some of those NFL teams hoping to challenge the Chiefs in the AFC, riding the play of their Pro Bowl-caliber quarterbacks Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and C.J. Stroud.
Having frequently come so close to a title in recent years, the San Francisco 49ers entered the season as the favorites in the NFC West. Can they make a late push with Christian McCaffrey back?
The Detroit Lions, Atlanta Falcons, Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings, Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles are potential challengers in what could be a wide-open conference race.
Now, all of that is a little far in the future to be given much consideration yet, but our AI-powered supercomputer is continuing to make predictions for every game this season.
Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season begins with the Pittsburgh Steelers visiting the AFC North rival Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football, and it continues with the 49ers renewing its rivalry with the Packers Sunday afternoon. The NFL Week 12 games end with the Ravens taking on the surging Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football.
For those games and every touchdown in between, we’ve taken plenty of data, pumped it through our model and come up with our win probabilities. They’re not NFL picks against the spread.
No matter if it’s a headliner or a game we may all be a bit less excited about, it unsentimentally beeps its way through its NFL picks, boldly dropping predictions for each.
Keep in mind that these percentages move throughout the week as player news shake things up (the following win probabilities were as of Wednesday). You can always find the win percentages – pregame or live – on our season-long predictions page.
Thursday Night Football
Pittsburgh Steelers 57.7%, at Cleveland Browns 42.3%
The Browns are 4-1 against the Steelers in their last five home games. A win on Thursday would mark their first three-game home winning streak over Pittsburgh since they won four in a row in Cleveland from 1990-93. A win will also mark their first back-to-back victories over Pittsburgh since 2000, regardless of location.
Sunday’s Schedule
Kansas City Chiefs 75.8%, at Carolina Panthers 24.2%
This will be the Chiefs’ fifth and final game versus an interconference opponent this season. Kansas City is 4-0 entering Sunday and is seeking its third unbeaten season versus NFC teams in the past four years (5-0 in 2021 and 2022).
Minnesota Vikings 58.1%, at Chicago Bears 41.9%
The Vikings have won their last four visits to Chicago since the start of the 2020 season following a 20-year run where Minnesota went 4-16 in Chicago. The Vikings have won five straight games in Chicago just once, going 5-0 from 1996-2000.
at Houston Texans 75.7%, Tennessee Titans 24.3%
The Texans have won their last three matchups with the Titans, controlling the time of possession in each of the games. Houston ranks second in the NFL this season in average TOP (32:44), out-possessing its opponents in 10 of 11 games. DeMeco Ryans’ team also ranks first in defensive EVE, which measures average yards prevented compared to the league-wide expected amount in a given situation.
Detroit Lions 67.1%, at Indianapolis Colts 32.9%
The Lions have the biggest point differential through 10 games of a season (plus-159) since the 2019 Patriots (+179) and are the sixth team since 2000 with a point differential of at least +150 through 10 games of a season. Three of the other five teams made the Super Bowl (2009 Saints, 2007 Patriots, 2006 Bears).
at Miami Dolphins 73.5%, New England Patriots 26.5%
Miami is 8-2 in its last 10 meetings with New England dating back to 2019. The Dolphins defense has limited the Patriots to 24 or fewer points in all of those games. It’s Miami’s fourth-longest streak versus a divisional opponent since the NFL-AFL merger.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63.5%, at New York Giants 36.5%
Baker Mayfield ranks third in the NFL with 24 touchdown passes this season. With one more against the Giants on Sunday, he would join Tom Brady (three straight) as the only players in franchise history with 25+ touchdown passes in back-to-back seasons.
at Washington Commanders 80.5%, Dallas Cowboys 19.5%
Dallas has won five of the last six meetings against Washington, including wins of 35 points and 28 points in the last two matchups. In the most recent meeting, the Cowboys earned a 38-10 win in Washington with 31 first downs, the most first downs Dallas has generated in 128 games versus Washington (including postseason).
Denver Broncos 63.5%, at Las Vegas Raiders 36.5%
The Raiders have won eight straight home games against the Broncos, their longest active home winning streak against any opponent, and one win away from tying their longest such streak versus Denver which started prior to the merger (nine straight from 1963-71).
at Green Bay Packers 58.2%, San Francisco 49ers 41.8%
This matchup will feature two of the NFL’s top five offenses in terms of total net yards per game. The 49ers rank second in yards per game (398.9), while the Packers rank fourth in yards per game (388.1).
at Seattle Seahawks 51.6%, Arizona Cardinals 48.4%
The Seahawks have won five straight games against the Cardinals, with all five games decided by 10 or less points. It is Seattle’s longest win streak against Arizona in series history (Cardinals’ longest streak against Seahawks is also five straight, 1976-95).
Sunday Night Football
Philadelphia Eagles 57.3%, at Los Angeles Rams 42.7%
The Eagles scored 20 points in the fourth quarter of their win over the Commanders last Thursday. Philadelphia has a +45-point differential in the fourth quarter of games this season, the best in the NFL.
Monday Night Football
Baltimore Ravens 56.8%, at Los Angeles Chargers 43.2%
Justin Herbert has not thrown an interception in his last 246 pass attempts, the longest active streak in the NFL. It is also the longest streak by any Chargers’ QB in the last 30 seasons (surpassing his own mark of 233 from 2022-23).
Stats and facts provided by Stats Perform’s data insights team. Be sure to check out our MLB and NBA coverage, as well as all our college football and NFL picks. Follow us on X, Threads, Facebook and Instagram for more!