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If you’ve followed the news or opened X this fall, you’ve probably seen Polymarket. It’s that prediction market for politics (and more) that’s been all over the place lately. I’ve been following their rise for the past year from a no-name niche betting market to over $1B assets under management — with the CEO on […]
In the final few weeks of the presidential race, some polls and prediction markets are indicating we could have Donald Trump back in office come January 2025. For the first time since August, the former president overtook Vice President Kamala Harris in The Economist’s statistical model of America’s presidential election, and some other news outlets […]